LSST Science Working Group Meeting, Seattle Washington, January 9, 2003 Minutes by Sidney Wolff and Michael Strauss (Apologies these are so late! Purely Michael's fault...) Attending: Chuck Claver Andy Connolly* Kem Cook* Daniel Eisenstein* Peter Garnavich* Ralph Gaume Richard Green (by phone) Al Harris* Zeljko Ivezic Steve Larson* David Monet* David Morrison* Jeremy Mould Knut Olsen Connie Rockosi Abi Saha (by phone) Mike Shara* Chris Smith Michael Strauss* Chris Stubbs* Tony Tyson* Wayne van Citters Sidney Wolff (* denotes member of the SWG) (I may have missed a few people here; apologies if so). ***********Novae and other variables The first presentation was by Mike Shara, who had been charged with describing the opportunities for studying variable stars, including dwarf novae, RR Lyraes, W Ursae Majoris stars (contact binaries), Miras, etc. Mike stressed a unique opportunity for using novae as standard candles and as proxy tracers of stellar populations outside galaxies. With the LSST it will be possible to study brighter novae out to about a factor of 2 beyond the distance of the Virgo cluster. Novae are exquisite standard candles; the relationship between decline rate and Mv has a 1-sigma scatter of about 0.05 mag. The magnitude at peak depends on the mass of the white dwarf; more massive white dwarfs are associated with bigger, faster bursts. The decline lasts from days to months; no classical nova has erupted a second time as far as observers are concerned. The time scale between bursts is definitely > 200 years and probably greater than thousands of years. There are 10-30 novae per year in a galaxy like the Milky Way. The physics of these objects is well-understood; and the emphasis here would be using them as standard candles, to trace the distribution of stars outside the luminous parts of galaxies. The study of novae would benefit from observations with other facilities but does not need them. Since novae are blue and hot, the preferred filter is B but V is also fine. R would simply reduce the limiting magnitude by about half a magnitude. A color may be necessary for classification, although that is only necessary at one epoch. Light curve coverage, perhaps every second night, is required. For this problem it would be better to cover, say, 10 percent of the sky nightly than 100 percent of the sky weekly. Potentially, much of the follow up could be provided on other telescopes by the cataclysmic community after the novae are found by LSST (this brings up a broad general question about the extent LSST should do its own follow-up; we as a group have not yet come to a consensus on that). It is, however, necessary to obtain a measurement at maximum brightness. The light curves are independent of stellar population. If we assume that 10 percent of stars lie outside galaxies and that there are 3000 large galaxies out to to 2x the distance to Virgo (requiring that we go down to about 25 mag), then LSST can expect to discover 10^4 novae per year. With this data set on novae it would be possible to study galactic harassment, tidal interactions in groups, clusters, etc. If the reddening could be determined, then novae in galaxies could be used to determine peculiar velocities of nearby galaxies, but the bright background would present a challenge. LSST could also observe all RR Lyraes from here to Andromeda. These variables could be identified from their color and amplitude; enough random observations (say, once every three nights) could be phased to derive periods. Macho has established feasibility of phasing. Ivezic pointed out that SDSS has 700 square degrees of multi-epoch data. The meta-lesson from this is that if you work hard on astrometric and photometric accuracy in your survey, everything else falls into place, and, for example, looking for variables becomes quite straightforward. On short timescales, the variable object population (at least to 20th magnitude) is dominated by stars, mostly RR Lyraes in the halo. If one waits longer than few months, variable point sources in the SDSS are dominated by quasars. Cook pointed out that MACHO discovered many variable quasars, some with very short time scales. *********Cadence of observations Cadence will determine types of variables discovered; Ivezic argued that it is possible to define a single cadence that is optimized for the discovery of variables and that works for asteroids-i.e. one cadence fits all. While this cadence may not be optimum for any specific problem, it is plenty good enough for most of the science proposed to date for the LSST. The specific proposal for a cadence for LSST made by Ivezic is one pair of observations separated by perhaps 10 minutes and made in R plus one other color. Over that ten minutes, one observes of order 35 interlocking fields, giving measures of variability on a range of timescales. A few nights later in a given dark run, the pair is repeated in R and a third color. The argument is that colors are very helpful in sorting out the properties of main belt asteroids, and this cadence gives color information. Moreover, this gives some color information for variable objects of all sorts. This type of spacing allows the linking of observations of a moving object (Near-Earth Asteroids (NEA), Main-Belt Asteroids (MBA), and Kuiper Belt Asteroids (KBO)), without confusion. In particular, most of the moving objects one is likely to see are main-belt asteroids. "Connecting the dots" for the faster-moving NEA's will be difficult with this background. At the limiting magnitude of LSST, the average separation of MBAs will be 2.3 arcmin; since MBAs move 3-18 arcmin per day, their positions will be scrambled. Observations can be linked by obtaining two observations in a single night to get the linear velocity. To select the optimal time between observations, consider KBOs. With 50 mas astrometric accuracy, one needs to wait 10 minutes as a lower limit to detect motion. Monet cautioned that 100 mas may be more likely with LSST because of short exposures. Ivezic then proposed that the scanning pattern for LSST should be to go up and down perpendicular to the ecliptic, covering 1/3 of the sky per night with 2-3 revisits per month. The scan pattern means that the overlap areas of the circular field of view are observed at 25 sec intervals; the repeated observations observe specific areas at a range of intervals from 24 seconds (assuming two 10-second exposures followed by 4 seconds of overhead, which is probably optimistic) to 22 minutes. The details of the plan can be found at: http://www.astro.Princeton.EDU/~ivezic/talks/AAS201lsst.ps *****Requirements on filters, especially u band Claver stressed the need to begin putting numbers on the LSST requirements. What slew times do we need? How good does the image quality have to be (PSF width, shape, anisotropy, uniformity, etc)? How far into the blue do we need to go and are we willing to sacrifice red performance to get it? The optics of the telescope are strongly affected by this decision. The latter question resurrected the debate about the U-band. U is very useful for distinguishing white dwarfs, RR Lyraes, and low redshift quasars. On the other hand, LSST can use time samples to find quasars; Sloan has shown that every quasar varies if you wait long enough. Similarly one can find white dwarfs from their proper motions. There appeared to be no argument for obtaining U as part of the main survey. It would be useful to measure U during the multi-color survey of the static sky planned for the initial years of operation of the LSST. However, the primary emphasis remains on observing at red wavelengths, and performance at long wavelengths should not be compromised to optimize U performance. Stubbs returned to the issue of filters. He argued that an observation should be viewed as a multi-color measurement and that the focal plane should be partitioned into two colors, so that measurements are always made in two filters. Abi Saha pointed out that it will be necessary to trade multi-colors against sky coverage. Kem Cook stressed the need to develop the arguments for obtaining color curves; i.e., do we need light curves for variable objects as a function of time? Supernovae are one example where you do need full light curves in several colors, so as to be able to solve simultaneously for extinction, SN type, and K correction. For some science goals, repeat observations in one band most of the time, and in multiple bands some smaller fraction of the time, may be appropriate. Note that Zeljko's scheme described above gives time-variable information in R on timescales of 15 minutes, obtaining a single color for objects on this timescale. Every time this field is redone, a different color is measured. This is an interesting compromise approach to this problem. Jeremy Mould suggested that we needed to think in terms of data products-brightness in a single filter as a function of time, color at a single time, and color as a function of time and determine what the science problems included in the design reference mission really require. Al Harris suggested that it makes sense to use LSST for followup only where the density of objects is high; this is true of faint asteroids, where we can expect to see several asteroids at mag 24 per field of view. If objects are sparse, then follow up should be done with other telescopes. *********Tsunami's Dave Morrison said that there will probably be a workshop on the tsunami hazard in ~6 weeks. He passed out a written summary of where things stand today. Basically, there is good agreement about what happens when an impact occurs in the deep ocean and how it propagates in deep water, but not about what happens when the tsunami reaches a coastline; how does the wave break, and how does it run up to the shore? There is some modest agreement that if you are more than 1 km inland, you'll be OK, but of course, a lot of the world's population lives within one km of the shore... ********KBO science Gary Bernstein said that the role of the LSST in KBO science is not discovering rare, bright KBOs, which are being found now, but rather in obtaining enough statistics to use KBOs to construct a fossil record of the outer solar system. There are now ~800 KBO's known, enough to *start* to see dynamical structure. A reasonable goal is to find 10^5 KBOs. LSST gets much of the KBO science for free---those that can be seen at 5 sigma in 20 sec exposure. There are probably 20,000 such objects. It will take a specialized cadence to find some of the rest: going to 26th will require coadding over 1 hour of exposure. KBOs typically move 1 arcsec per hour (4 arcsec at opposition); if observations are made at quadrature, it would be possible to co-add and obtain the equivalent of 3600 sec exposures. With 3-4 such measurements, it is possible to get orbits. Such a campaign sustained for a year along the ecliptic could yield a million objects, and would allow us to map out the full ecliptic plane. This would allow us to do things like look for resonances (analogous to Trojans) due to Neptune. Note that a single observatory at a latitude of +/-30 degrees is not well suited for observing the whole ecliptic. Once a KBO is found and its orbit is known, it is possible to use 20 sec exposures to recover them (if they are not *too* faint) learn about them since their position will be known within a PSF. Note that detailed colors are not needed; the spectra are usually well-described by power-laws, so one color is adequate. Of course, one doesn't necessarily want to observe these through an arbitrarily wide filter, as the PSF of such an observation can be quite poor. No atmospheric dispersion corrector will work over three degrees Bottom line: KBO science doesn't drive filter choices or cadence but long exposures and a full ecliptic survey would yield great benefits. *********Astrometry Dave Monet defined the key questions about astrometry with the LSST to be: What is likely to be achieved with this telescope in terms of astrometric accuracy? And what is the first derivative of the accuracy with respect to exposure time, image quality, etc? LSST must serve as its own precursor telescope since it reaches much fainter limits than any existing or planned astrometric survey. The LSST astrometric catalog also needs to be self-improving. A calibration plan is needed. In other astrometric news: Early experiments with OTCCDs are encouraging in that positional measurements appear to be repeatable at the expected levels. The SDSS does astrometry to 40-50 mas accuracy. It has been suggested that this is limited by coherent anomalous refraction in the atmosphere, but Dave wants to check this; in particular, it may be that most of the power is on large (>30') scales, meaning that relative astrometry can be quite a bit more accurate. It will be important to characterize this as a function of scale and exposure time, using SDSS and other wide-field data. The only need for absolute astrometry mentioned was asteroid work, where the requirements are quite a bit looser. On astrometric science: LSST, even with its high astrometric accuracy, will not beat comparison with the POSS (i.e., with the much longer time baseline), at least for objects brighter than about 20th mag. What LSST will do particularly well is parallax and astrometric wobble studies; the various cadences suggested all do fine for that. It will be possible to look for wiggles, i.e. of L and T dwarfs, to detect low mass companions with periods maybe up to 20 years. *********Photometric redshifts Andy Connolly is working on photometric redshifts for weak lensing, evaluating the performance of various combinations of filters; going for 4-5 filters buys wavelength coverage and improves redshifts. If the data one gets is of too low S/N, the redshift errors not only degrade, but become non-Gaussian. *********Putting it all together Michael Strauss then wrote down some of the issues that need to be quantified as part of the DRM: *Sky coverage *Filters *Image quality Weak lensing: All agree on short exposures to turn systematics into statistics *Photometric accuracy Should detection of planetary transits be a requirement? (This requires good relative photometry). Is the cadence suitable? Sloan controls systematics well and can beat down photometric errors by repeated measurements. Can LSST do as well? *What is the typical interval of time between repeat observations of a given area of sky? Al Harris reported on an analysis of this question carried out by Ted Bowell. Ted was unfortunately not there to give us the details (fogged out in Phoenix, while we enjoyed beautifully clear skies in Seattle; go figure!); it differed quantitatively but not qualitatively from Zeljko's analysis. We hope to have further discussion of this at the next meeting. In particular, Zeljko argued for a single cadence for all types of moving objects, while Ted was less convinced (in absentia). As we saw from the variable star discussion, a cadence of 1-2 day repeats is necessary for the variable star science. But the full sky is not needed. Note that this is much too fast for SN, who would prefer repeats on 3-8 days, over the full light curve. *For astrometric and photometric calibrations, one gains by maximum overlap of fields. We need to think about this in the context of the "presurvey" as well, when our astrometric and photometric standards will be laid down. The meeting ended somewhat inconclusively on these discussions. There is a general sense that we've had enough discussions on general science goals and order-of-magnitude estimates of what we need, and it is time to get specific. We don't really have quantitative statements of what deliverables and requirements we have for each of the science goals, and we have thus far not really tackled the question about whether we want to do one single survey in a single mode, or several different surveys in different modes. Michael posted (lsst-general 57) a strawman proposal of what the different science programs might want, but did not try to stitch them all together. Our next meeting will be a phone conference on Thursday, February 20 (2 PM Eastern Time), followed by a face-to-face meeting in Tucson on March 18-19. The push here will be to try to make progress on the above; let's get some of this stuff written down, quantitative and specific! 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