Knut Olsen asked (meaning tasked) me to scribble something about wiggles and astrometry. I don't have any profound insights, but there are a couple of relationships that can be presented. 1) Planetary perturbations: These are the limiting case of where the flux of the planet is negligible with respect to that of the star, and normalizing to things like the Sun and Jupiter make sense. FullAmp (mas) = (a/5) * (10/D) * Mp / Ms where a is the semi-major axis in AU D is distance in pc Mp is the mass of the planet in Jupiter masses Ms is the mass of the star in solar masses There are a semi-infinite number of other ways to think about, plot, and rummage around parameter space, but this one is pretty simple. Clearly, we win big if the astrometric error can be driven down into the mas region, but when you examine 1e10 (+/- a few) systems you are bound to find something. 2) Astrometric binaries: For stellar systems, you don't measure the semi-major axis. You measure the distance between the barycenter and the photocenter (see van de Kamp's Principles of Astrometry for details). You still have m1a1 = m2a2 but you measure FullAmp (mas) = 2000 * (alpha/D) where alpha is measured in AU D is measured in PC and alpha = a1*(m2/(m1+m2) - (l2/(l1+l2))) which is just the distance of the photocenter from the barycenter. If you prefer magnitudes, the second term can be written as l2/(l1+l2) = (1/(1 + 10**(0.4*DeltaMag))) The interesting part of LSST is that we will measure the astrometric wiggle in several colors, and this gives insight into the flux ratio of the stars in the different passbands. Hence, we extend the serious study of a few systems with crude searches of billions of systems. My guess is that somebody can find the appropriate integrals over the various orbital elements to derive mean properties of binary stars. 3) In a series of widely ignored (and justifiably so) papers in the last 70s (some of which were not even published in those dark days before astro-ph), Monet attempted to remind the reader that Kepler's equation is solved by a Fourier series whose coefficients are Bessel functions (see Brower and Clemence's Methods of Celestial Mechanics for details). Hence, one can design tuned filters for Keplerian motion (and even apsidal motion, unseen companions, etc.) that work over a surprisingly wide set of cases needing only Fourier analysis of unequally spaced observations. Boring, but it might come in handy for large-scale searches for wiggles. There are other boundary conditions (like getting the same period in both axes, using higher harmonics if the SNR allows, etc.) that might assist. An equally amusing, but apparently not to the referee in 1980, study was the degradation of SNR as a function of partial coverage of the period. Obviously, very short coverage means that linear motion is just as good a fit so one cannot determine Keplerian motion. Similarly, once you have sampled both peaks of the basically sinusoidal period (yes, large eccentricities are a nuisance but there is no divergence, and yes, large eccentricity looks a lot like noise and really needs a different algorithm), the Fourier coefficients are pretty well measured and you do pretty well. In the region of where you have half a hump (Heffalump?), I found that the uncertainty in the semi-major axis is effectively increased by a factor of the fractional period coverage to the -3.5 power or so. That is to say, if you have about half an orbit, then the derived parameters are about a factor of 10 worse than if you had the same number of equal quality observations spaced over a whole orbit. I believe that other investigators have found similar conclusions, but I haven't paid close attention. The reason for this history lesson is that I think that it will be pretty silly to attempt to estimate Keplerian elements for systems whose periods are more than 4X the duration of the observations. For LSST, one can hope that we will be able to probe systems with periods as long as 40-50 years, and we might find interesting nearby systems with separations of many arcseconds. Again, it is the thoroughness of the LSST survey that is the big step forward. -Dave LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST Mailing List Server LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST This is message 90 in the lsst-general archive, URL LSST http://www.astro.princeton.edu/~dss/LSST/lsst-general/msg.90.html LSST http://www.astro.princeton.edu/cgi-bin/LSSTmailinglists.pl/show_subscription?list=lsst-general LSST The index is at http://www.astro.princeton.edu/~dss/LSST/lsst-general/INDEX.html LSST To join/leave the list, send mail to lsst-request@astro.princeton.edu LSST To post a message, mail it to lsst-general@astro.princeton.edu LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST LSST