LSST Science Working Group phonecon August 8, 2003 Minutes Attending: Gary Bernstein Chuck Claver Andy Connolly Kem Cook Daniel Eisenstein Richard Green Fiona Harrison Lee Holloway Zeljko Ivezic Inga Karlinger Dave Monet David Morrison Beatrice Muller Knut Olsen Abi Saha Mike Shara Michael Strauss Chris Stubbs Nick Suntzeff Jon Thaler Tony Tyson Sidney Wolff Dennis Zaritsky Apologies if I missed your name! The main subject of the discussion today was the process of writing the Design Reference Mission. We are starting with a concept of a telescope capability as endorsed by various decadal surveys, namely one with an etendue in the ballpark of 250 square degrees meter^2 operating for of order ten years, which is capable of carrying out surveys for near-earth asteroids, KBO's, supernovae and other variable objects, and deep lensing. Our job in the design reference mission is to flesh out and quantify the science goals, describe what requirements each has on such things as seeing, astrometric and photometric accuracy, cadence, choice of filters, and so on, and describe the derivative of the science with respect to these requirements: how fast, e.g., does the weak lensing science degrade as the seeing worsens? We also have to ask the question of the extent to which this facility is likely to remain compelling by the time in actually gets on line. What we do *not* have to do is to come up with a complete, coherent observing program for the full ten-year lifetime of the mission; while we should and will point out how the different programs fit together and can use the same data, the scientific landscape is likely to change dramatically over the next 5-10 years, to make the details of what we work out now interestingly obselete. It is also not our job to make basic design decisions such as choosing between a single large monolithic telescope a la the DMT design, or a distributed aperture like a super-PanSTARRS. As I think Sidney Wolff phrased it, "Just write down what we want to do, not what we want to build". It would be appropriate to have appendices to the DRM document describing these various options. After the SWG has finished its task, it will be the job of advocates of these different approaches to write proposals to the funding agencies showing that their telescope concept can meet the science goals laid out in the DRM. It was edifying for me at least to have the discussion that resulted in the above paragraph, and makes our job of writing the DRM more straightforward and less politically charged. We would like to get at least a first draft of this DRM out over the next 2-3 months. The news is good, as lsst-general has seen quite a bit of traffic of people posting drafts and outlines of sections they would like to write. However, it is clear that we cannot answer all relevant questions on that timescale; what the document will have to do in such cases is to describe the issues involved, give what qualitative answers we can give, and outline the research project needed to do a full and proper job. We then went through each of the major science areas we've been discussing for LSST, and talked about where things stand. ********************************Near-Earth Asteroids*************** Al Harris, who has been leading the SWG discussions on this topic, was unfortunately unable to join us. David Morrison was here, and told us that the NASA Science Definition Team on the hazard from NEA's would soon (i.e., in the next few weeks) be releasing their report, and that they would touch upon the LSST question; we look forward to what they have to say. Al, who has been involved in this NASA panel, is (among other things) quantifying the risk associated with these NEA's. He has suggested modifying that section slightly and incorporating it into the LSST DRM. *******************************Kuiper Belt Objects***************** Gary Bernstein has posted a write-up (lsst-general 114) to be included in the DRM. Recent comments from Bea Muller (lsst-general 162), as well as some rethinking on his part about the KBO population, based on some results he's getting from HST, are prompting him to plan a rewrite of his text; he hopes to do this over the next short while. *******************************Variable Objects****************** Fiona Harrison had posted a note (lsst-general 160) suggesting that the emphasis here should be on the region of as-yet unexplored parameter space (apparent magnitude and variability timescale) opened up by the LSST. Kem Cook pointed out that in a mode in which we return to a certain set of fiducial fields in order to carry out photometric calibration, we would be able to carry out quite exquisite studies of variability on all sorts of timescales in those regions of sky. Daniel Eisenstein suggested, however, that the concept of fiducial standard fields for photometric calibration was unnecessary with a survey repeating any given area of sky multiple times: the survey calibrates itself. In a given lunation, a given area of sky is covered of order six times, three pairs of two in Zeljko Ivezic's suggested cadence mode (lsst-general 62), for example. If one wants observations in multiple bands, one needs to divide this number by the relevant number of bands. We didn't resolve the photometric calibration question, but it is definitely important. Chris Stubbs discussed the synergy between LSST and other missions to look for transient phenomenae, mentioning the EXIST mission (all-sky imaging in hard X-rays) and LISA (gravitational wave detection using interferometers in space) as cases in point. Tony Tyson mentioned the transient sources that he has been finding in his deep lens survey; sources that are undetected in one ten-minute exposure (i.e., fainter than ~25 mag), which will pop up to 22nd mag, and then disappear again. Nick Suntzeff seems to find similar things; we should definitely mention the existence of these mysterious sources in the DRM. Tony said he had relevant figures on his web site. Mike Shara described his posting, lsst-general 61, about dwarf and classical nova science to be done with LSST. He emphasizes that of known types of variable stars, four types would dominate in LSST data: contact binaries (W Ursa Majoris stars), classical novae, dwarf novae, and RR Lyrae stars. We agreed that the DRM should emphasize both the new discovery space for variable objects, and the populations of known types of variables that LSST could fruitfully explore. ************************Supernovae******************************** This naturally led to a discussion of supernovae. In our meeting in March, there was not a great deal of enthusiasm about pushing SN science as a science driver for LSST, partly because of a sense that most of the relevant science questions would be answered on the LSST timescale. The topic came up here again, and several people, including Nick Suntzeff and Abi Saha, argued that supernovae are definitely worth another look. Peter Garnavich was unable to join us, but is working on a document describing the sensitivity of LSST to measuring the rate of change of the redshift-distance relationship. We all agreed that with supernovae, follow-up is the limiting factor. At 23th mag (the relevant depth for SN in the right redshift range for w measurements), we estimated there would be of order of 100 SN in *every* LSST image. LSST of course will not obtain spectra of these objects, and it is unclear whether LSST will get sufficiently sampled light curves, in enough filters, to get good light curves. This is a calculation that is crying out to be done. Remember that 23rd mag is only a bit above the plate limit, so the S/N of the photometry of such an object will not be terribly high. Abi stressed the importance of nearby supernovae (m=20). These are rare enough and bright enough that follow-up can be done straightforwardly on other telescopes. One can imagine doing peculiar velocity studies for such objects, for example. ******************Galactic Structure/Stellar Populations************** Dave Monet and Dennis Zaritsky have put together a first draft of a document on that subject (lsst-general 154); Knut Olsen is working further on this. Dynamical studies of the halo from proper motions, among other things, are stressed here; the constraints this puts on halo structure needs modelling, given the inevitable errors of stellar distance determination, etc. *******************Weak Lensing****************************** While a technical discussion of this in the context of LSST exists (cf., lsst-general 24), what is needed is more on the science drivers. Tony Tyson, Daniel Eisenstein, and Gary Bernstein are currently working on that. ******************Putting it all together********************** Michael Strauss has the job of taking these disparate pieces and making them coherent in a single document. He has a web site, http://astro.princeton.edu/~strauss/LSST, on which documents can be placed. Thus he will put versions of this DRM there, and any pieces that don't easily display on the lsst-general archive (i.e., anything that is not ascii: figures, highly formatted text, etc.); if you have such things, send them to Michael and he will put them there. He will look into creating a CVS respository, which is a mechanism for multiple people to work on a document simultaneously and keeping it all straight. And Sidney Wolff volunteered the help of folks at NOAO for the mechanics of making a proposal pretty. 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