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Next: D. Galactic Astronomy and Up: II. RESEARCH PROGRAM Previous: B. Stellar and Galactic

C. Stellar Astronomy and the Solar System

G.R. Knapp reviewed observations of the structure of circumstellar dust shells around AGB stars. The photospheres of several red giant stars have recently been found to be non-circularly symmetric, and the asymmetries are aligned with large-scale asymmetries in the circumstellar envelopes. These asymmetries, and those in the subsequent evolutionary stage, planetary nebulae, may be the result of asymmetries in the shapes of the stars themselves.

Knapp and J.E. Gunn, in collaboration with P.F. Bowers (U.S. Naval Observatory) and J. Vasquez Poritz (Cornell undergraduate) analyzed sensitive short-wavelength VLA observations of six globular clusters. Several new candidate low-mass x-ray binary stars were identified by detection of radio point source emission at the positions of cluster x-ray sources. No new planetary nebula candidates were found. The observations also set limits of typically tex2html_wrap_inline958 on diffuse ionized gas in the centers of the clusters.

Knapp and A. Jorissen (Brussels), with K. Young (Caltech) detected a very fast (tex2html_wrap_inline960kms tex2html_wrap_inline670) molecular wind from the carbon star V Hya using the CSO. Comparison with other objects showing this phenomenon shows that such winds may signal the onset of planetary nebula formation.

W.N. Colley (graduate student) and J.R. Gott III studied the naked-eye observability of microlensing events for both known stars and possible massive compact halo objects (MACHOs). They found that if both the dark matter disk and halo are composed of MACHOs in the Jupiter-mass range, microlensing events of naked-eye stars, undergoing at least 1 magnitude of magnification, occur at the rate of 1 per 2400 yr., and have durations of from hours to days; they thus surmise that the change of at least one event occurring in the era of recorded history (the last 5000 yrs.) would be tex2html_wrap_inline964%. For magnification by known stars, events are expected at the rate of 1 per 40,000 yr., so we should not be surprised not to have witnessed an event in the last 5000 yr. However, in the last 200,000 yr., while humans have inhabited the Earth, we expect of order five events, and thus a 99% chance that at least one observable event has occurred.

J.R. Gott has continued to investigate the implications of the Copernican Principle for our future prospects. If our location is not special among intelligent observers, the total longevity of our species is predicted to be similar in order of magnitude to that observed for other mammal and hominid species. This study points out how Copernican estimates are identical to those obtained with an appropriate Vague Bayesian Prior. This is no accident -- if the Vague Bayesian Prior is chosen correctly then all intelligent observers should be able to use it and then the Copernican results should be obtained.


next up previous
Next: D. Galactic Astronomy and Up: II. RESEARCH PROGRAM Previous: B. Stellar and Galactic

David Spergel
Fri Jun 6 11:33:26 EDT 1997